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Waiver Wire & Week 7 Statistics Analysis

Hello Fantasy Faithfuls, I am so salty this week! The Projections are back on track with a 76% hit rate but my teams fell apart all across the board with a 1-3 week and DFS hurting me bad. I hope you did much better and I have already seen some of y'all on YouTube saying it went really well, that brings me a ton of joy! If you ever do well thanks to a pick you heard of here, let me know in the comments, on twitter or on YouTube, it really does bring me a ton of joy knowing y'all are doing well!


Today I am back with the Waiver Wire again, but next week will be a bit different. After Week 8 I will post the rest of season rankings for all position groups. I will combine some positions to be able to cover them all in a timely manner, but I am already looking forward to it!

Don't miss our new Podcast/LiveShow on YouTube tomorrow at 9pm ET! As always check out the Score Projection and Risk Analysis article on Thursday right here on csdfantasy.com. Let's dig in!

Quarterback focus to begin this article with Jacoby Brissett, Matthew Stafford and Kirk Cousins leading the charge. As we are entering more and more BYE weeks deeper leagues will need Quarterbacks and there has still very much available in most leagues.


Brissett is my favorite one to pick up of these three and is also the least owned one which works out great. He has the easiest schedule moving forward, has had his BYE and has the highest Floor. Stafford those have a higher Ceiling and less Risk going into Week 8 but after that is the time you want Brissett.


If you only need a Quarterback for Week 8 I suggest you go with Stafford. He has a very favorable matchup against the New York Giants, the 12th best team for a Quarterback to play right now, compared to Brissett’s 3rd hardest and Cousins 13th hardest. This makes Stafford a great choice for this week, but he is going to more difficult to find as he has the highest ownership percentage of the three.


Cousins has come alive but is playing on Thursday Night Football which means prime time, not his favorite situation and Washington has actually not been terrible against Quarterbacks lately but that is mainly because they played under water in Week 7 and against the Dolphins in Week 6. Cousins is my last resort Quarterback if I own Lamar Jackson or Dak Prescott (which I do in one league and already ave Cousins lined up as the options are slim).


Aaron Jones is definitely playing very well right now but it seems like Williams has found a role on the team despite of this. He has seen 5 targets with 4 receptions in the last two games and a touchdown in both those games. If Williams can keep getting targets he 100% has a chance to provide value for your fantasy teams, especially in DFS. I will be very difficult to start week in and week out but he has a fantastic schedule moving forward so you should be able to start him a few times for a chance of a big game. I am looking at KC, LAC, WAS, NYG and CHI all teams that just hand out points to Running Backs.

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I talk about John Brown so much I don’t know if I have more to say. Who am I kidding? Of course I do! He is playing the best team for a Wide Receiver to play right now in the Philadelphia Eagles. They give out points to Wide Receivers like Santa gives out presents on Christmas. For a second week in a row Brown has a fantastic matchup before it gets more difficult. Get him, start him and then re-evaluate after this week.


I am not jumping on the Chase Edmonds hype train. I should have been on it last week but I got fooled by the reports that David Johnson would play. I was 100% sure DJ would play and have a massive game, instead that massive game was handed to Edmonds and my DFS dreams with it. I am very salty about the reports and I hate when things like this impact fantasy, but I do understand why teams do this for football concerns, of course you don’t want to give too much info to the opponent, but come on!


I had to put Sanu on this list with the latest news that he is traded to the New England Patriots. This makes Phillip Dorsett much less valuable and I expect Sanu to increase in value, especially in PPR. I have not done a study on how Sanu fits with the Patriots but I expect the Patriots have done that so I am confident in a volume increase.


The freakin Tight End position is giving me headaches in 2019. You can’t trust Zach Ertz or even Evan Engram against one of teams that give up the most points to Tight Ends. So what do you do, you look to T.J. Hockenson and his schedule. He has the third best schedule for Tight Ends after Week 8 and even if the Giants give up the 3rd least points to Tight Ends I am confident as they haven’t really played a decent Tight End in weeks.


Statistical Summary

I made 288 Projections with Probabilities for Week 7.

I measure with 30% accuracy, meaning if a player scored over his projection but the probability was 30% or below I failed or if a player had 70% probability but scored below his projection I also failed.

Out of the 288 Projections and Probabilities I had 219 Correct and 69 Incorrect. That means that 76% of all the numbers I provided gave You a good opportunity to plan your fantasy lineup for Week 7.

We are just 1% below the average from last year with a 2019 average of 74%. I am working hard to bump this up as I refuse to go backwards!

Like and Re-tweet, everything is appreciated!

The spreadsheets are dark and full of terror // CSD