Hello Fantasy Faithfuls, the early bird special for the Fantasy Snapshot Bundle is still going on so be sure to head over there are grab yourself an access code. Twelve new Running Backs will be added to the directory this weekend in addition to the players that are already there! For newcomers, The Fantasy Snapshot Bundle is our first draft kit with Video Breakdowns of over 100 players for the 2019 season. These videos contain everything you need to know, condensed into 3 minutes and are available Here!
Today I will be looking at the Running Backs with the highest one game Floor. These are the backs that rank 15-1 these will be the studs that you want to pick in rounds 1-3. If you want a stable contributor on your fantasy team this is the go to article. I tend to lean Running Back in the first round in my mocks this year and we have some players that you really should be focusing on for early rounds in 2019.
One Game Floor: New for this year is a tweaked Floor and Ceiling formula so if you are unfamiliar with the new formula please head over to the Quarterback Rankings and check out the first couple of paragraphs where I explain it all. In case you are fully aware, stay here. Let's dig in!
I find it fitting that these three guys are next to each other to start of this list. I have very mixed feelings about all three of them due to very different reasons though.
Mixon is obviously talented but has yet to that the step into the next tier of Running Backs after two seasons and I am wondering if it will happen this year or if the 5.3 is actually a good representation of his floor going forward, not just for 2019 but for the future as well.
Chris Carson plays for Seattle a team that has handed the ball of to a lot of different guys on a game to game basis since Marshawn Lynch left, and he will face competition from Rashaad Penny. I like him as a player but 14th on the Floor indicates an RB2 status and like that his adp of the 4th round reflex this.
Freeman is just coming back from an injury but if you want more thought on him check out my latest video right here.
Lindsay and Johnson are my favorite Running Backs to come out last year, yes I like them more than Barkley. Not cause they are more talented than him or in better fantasy situations but their rushing patterns fit the mold of a great fantasy Running Back. They may have small sample sizes but they are relatively cheap, 34th and 39th overall right now. That makes them valuable picks as I believe they will be the best RB2s in the league.
I was a little surprised seeing Christian McCaffrey just cracking the top 10 but the competition this year is more fierce than it has ever been since I started doing these rankings. There is a lot that goes into a good final ranking for me but the Floor is a huge indicator if you are going to produce points for me on a weekly basis. I know CMC will do this but even with his fantastic season from last year he had a couple of duds and his rookie season still impacts this number.
To me Leonard Fournette is too high but I don't want to tinker with the numbers, I just present what my formula shows me. I don't like his attitude or how his body holds up. When he plays you can assume that he will produce points for you, mainly by just carrying more than most other guys and that leads to a high Floor. But it is too many missed games for me to spend a 2nd round pick on him.
I can here people now talking about David Johnson and that he has been injured as well. However, that was one injury and he played 16 games on a terrible team last year and still ranks this high on the Floor rankings. He is almost as safe as it gets right now. The Cardinals can't be worse than they were last year, and he goes 10th overall. If you are a little lucky and he falls just a few spots, you can end up with Melvin Gordon at pick 5 and David Johnson at pick 15 in a ten team league, that is incredible value.
I am so happy that these three ended up in the same part of the list. They are all extremely good fantasy Running Backs, and Running Backs in general but all have question marks surrounding them off the field.
Le'Veon Bell did not play last year and he's with a new team. I still think he's one of the absolute best Running Backs in the league and will be valuable for fantasy but I am not willing to spend a top 4 pick on him due to his situation.
Todd Gurley had an amazing year last year, being the highest scoring Running Back even with playing two games less than Barkely and McCaffrey at second and third. But, with the questions regarding his health and the comment coming out of the Rams camp of giving him the ball less to make him last longer worries me a ton. Again, he has the fifth highest Floor but I can't spend that pick on him due to injury concerns.
Kareem Hunt will of course not warrant a top six pick due to his suspension, no question about it. Furthermore, he's on a new team that already has a featured back in Nick Chubb so even when he does come back, what will his role be?
Barkley and Elliott are looking more and more like my two top picks going into 2019. I have their videos up on the Fantasy Snapshot Bundle Page so you can get my full breakdown of them but to focus on their Floors. Barkley's sample size is on the lower side of things so even with him having the highest I still prefer Elliott over him. He has shown more consistency, is getting some pieces back on the offensive line and has a larger sample size leading to me trusting his numbers a bit more.
Melvin Gordon is a big surprise here. I have always been a huge fan of his even if I made a comment on his Fantasy Snapshot Video that you aren't really looking to draft him in the top four are you? I think he deserves a bit more respect in fantasy circles, even from me. At the end of the day I will most likely have Elliott, Barkley, Kamara and CMC ahead of him but that is a heck of a group to be associated with. Gordon is going 5th overall right now and if that is my draft spot and he's there I am more than happy to draft him.
So, you want to win at fantasy football? The key is to know more than your friends and family and this is the right place for it. For an even larger knowledge gap head over to the Fantasy Snapshot Bundle. You'll get video breakdowns of more than 100 players to help you conquer the draft season with ease. We now have an Early Bird Special so be sure to click the link today! -> 2019 Fantasy Snapshot Bundle
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The spreadsheets are dark and full of terror // CSD