Hello Fantasy Faithfuls, he's back! FItzmagic is back and I really hope we get info within a few days that he will be the Week 9 starter! Anyway, this was probably the least exciting week of NFL football this season, there has been so much more drama in the previous seven weeks that we probably needed a little break. This might just be me feeling this way but it was a bit of a lull in the action.
Today I got a ton of players for you to pick up on the waivers this week. They can help you fill those BYE week holes but also help you a ton moving forward as well. Furthermore, I of course analyze the projection numbers from Week 8 and have updated the Rest of Season rankings moving forward. Let's dig in!
If and only if, we get a clear answer that Ryan Fitzpatrick will be the starting Quarterback for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers should he be picked up. I do not condone dropping any of your players for Fitzpatrick before we can safely say he will start. When and if he is named starter and you need a Quarterback pick him up.
If we don't know about Fitzpatrick, pick up Mitch Trubisky. I highlighted him in last week's Score Projection article and in the Head-2-Head where he faced off against Matthew Stafford. I'm starting to like the kid more and more and even though he has a relatively tough matchup vs. Buffalo he got the 16th best schedule to finish out the season.
Aaron Jones has the second easiest schedule of any Running Back in the NFL. The only team that has an easier schedule for Running Backs is the Los Angeles Chargers so that is all good for Jones. Furthermore, the game against the Rams was his most carries in a game so far this season. He touched the ball 14 times and score 14.6 fantasy points, his year high. Every time he touches the ball eleven times or more he scores double digit fantasy points.
Last out from this first group is Vance McDonald who I just put in a waiver claim for. He does not have a massive projection for Week 9 but we rarely see Tight Ends with a projection higher than 8 points so this does not worry me at all. What separates McDonald from other Tight Ends on the waiver wire is the 44% risk of not reaching 5.6 points. The only guy that has a lower risk and higher projection with ownership below 70% is O.J. Howard but more about him below.
These four guys are my go too guys and even though Brown and Ridley had tough weeks in Week 8 they should still be on your radar and even more, on your team. I keep pounding the table for these guys so I won't go too much in depth but I will say, if they are available and you are in need of Wide Receivers, Flex players or a Tight End these should be your mains targets.
ROS Rankings Week 9 and Beyond
If you are on mobile, go to the tab called ROS Rankings and you will find all the positions.
I made 277 Projections with Probabilities for Week 8.
I measure with 30% accuracy, meaning if a player scored over his projection but the probability was 30% or below I failed or if a player had 70% probability but scored below his projection I also failed.
Out of the 275 Projection and Probabilities I had 221 Correct and 56 Incorrect. That means that 8% of all the numbers I provided gave You a good opportunity to plan your fantasy lineup for Week 8.
In Week 7 I had a 79% hit rate on my Projections and with that in mind the year average for the projections are now 78.5%. Still a little lower than the year average from last year, but keep putting your faith in the numbers and they will lead you to fantasy glory.
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The spreadsheets are dark and full of terror // CSD
#FantasyFootball #NFLFantasy #WaiverWire #ROSRankings #StatisticsAnalysis #Week8 #RyanFitzpatrick #MitchellTrubisky #AaronJones #GeronimoAllison #VanceMcDonald #JohnBrown #TylerLockett #CalvinRidley #OJHoward