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Waiver Wire & Week 4 Statistics Analysis

Hello Fantasy Faithfuls, I usually have something to say here to start the article but today I just wanna talk about the Waiver Wire targets. There is a lot to get into so I won't take up more of your time. Let's dig in!

These first five players are players that have not dominated my waiver wire targets before. Sure, I had Blake Bortles on here last week but he gets a pass. I love him this week and for all y'all who are streaming Quarterbacks, he is the way to go in week 5.

I have been getting tons of requests to focus on Calvin Ridley this week and of course I will oblige. But not in this article, instead you have to wait tomorrow and check out the Fantasy Snapshot Video on the YouTube Channel! But for now, just pick him up.

Tyler Boyd was a player I focused on last week. He was the target of one of the snapshot videos and I was very impressed with the numbers he had. After this week I am even more impressed. He did perform almost exactly what I had him projected for, just a little bit better which is alright.

Ricky Seals-Jones has not been incredibly impressive but has shown some flashes. Josh Rosen will be looking to establish himself as a starting Quarterback and what can be better to have than a big Tight End to throw to? Seals-Jones has decent numbers going into Week 5 but it is especially going forward I am excited about him.

Sure Aaron Jones comes with a bunch of risk this week but with him looking more like his old self this weekend I believe that he should be picked up from the waivers to secure your Running Back depth. I deeply regret letting him go this off-season in my dynasty team right now as I am very thin on Running Backs.

These four players are more what you should call "CSD, s&¤t up, we know you like these guys". I keep talking about them even with the incredibly disappointing showing from Mike Williams against the 49ers. Oakland is a perfect opportunity for Williams to get back to showing us what he can do.

John Brown keeps producing but is not getting the respect he deserves. He is currently ranked as the 12th highest scoring Wide Receiver in fantasy and only owned in 22% of leagues. That is extremely disrespectful and idiotic. If he is available in your league you need to pounce on him.

Y'all know that I love me some Kenny Golladay. I was not the highest on him last week as the Cowboys defense had played extremely well in the areas where Golladay excel. What we saw what that he still got 7.4 points, a good chunk in a difficult match-up. This week the Lions are facing the Packers, a team that should fit his play style better. Fyi: Golladay did catch the first pass in the deep left zone against the Cowboys all year, and almost all big plays against Dallas came to the right.

Austin Ekeler has been and will continue to be my go to guy in deeper leagues. I have been struggling with Running Backs in a lot of leagues with Fournette getting hurt, Lamar Miller being way below what he has been, Jordan Howard being way below what he can be and Dalvin Cook being a none-factor. This has lead me to Ekeler who keep producing as a RB2 and especially in PPR. I love the guy and I don't see why you should't pick him up and play him you too.

Statistical Summary

I made 231 Projections with Probabilities for Week 4.

I measure with 30 % accuracy, meaning if a player scored over his projection but the probability was 30 % or below I failed or if a player had 70 % probability but scored below his projection I also failed.

Out of the 231 Projection and Probabilities I had 173 Correct and 58 Incorrect. That means that 75% of all the numbers I provided gave You a good opportunity to plan your fantasy lineup for Week 4.

In Week 3 I had a 75% hit rate on my Projections so at least we are averaging 75% in 2018 so far. It is a good start but not good enough! I got some more tweaking to do, but I will not let you down.

Like and Re-tweet, everything is appreciated!

The spreadsheets are dark and full of terror // CSD

#FantasyFootball #NFLFantasy #WaiverWire #BlakeBortles #CalvinRidley #TylerBoyd #RickySealsJones #AaronJones #JohnBrown #MikeWilliams #KennyGolladay #AustinEkeler

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