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Waiver Wire & Week 2 Statistics Analysis

Hello Fantasy Faithfuls, we got to watch one of the best football weekends in a long time this Sunday, and yes I am counting last year as well. It had so much drama and so much random kicker misses that I almost forgot about fantasy football for a minute. But here we are again, another week in the books and players that should be picked up.

Today I am focusing on players with really low ownership expect one guy that I could not leave out the list. Except for Keelan Cole is the ownership for all my players under 25% so they should be available in most leagues. They are somewhat riskier this week but does also come with a ton of upside.

After the Waiver Wire analysis you can check out how my projections performed in Week 2. Let's dig in!

I know that I had Kenny Golladay on this list last week too but I don't understand how his ownership went down from 11% to 4%? I am really confused by this considering that he has had twelve and nine targets in the first two games with 13 receptions. He has really taken a huge step forward and looks like a legit fantasy player. Pick him up right now!

Keelan Cole had a slow start to the season last week but got it together against the Patriots. He saw eight targets and caught seven of them for 116 yards and a touchdown. His ownership is on the higher side of things so he might not be available in your league but I wanted to mention him anyway. I am also working on a video highlighting him for tomorrow so be sure to keep an eye on our YouTube channel!

When Jay Ajayi left the game the most dynamic offensive power on the Eagles was Corey Clement. He did not get a ton of touches but made the most of what he got. He still comes with a ton of risk heading into Week 3 but if you are a Freeman or Fournette owner in need of a Running Back he is an option for you.

Sure, Ted Ginn did not have the best of games against the Cleveland Browns but I have him as a bounce back guy against the Falcons. He has traditionally had a rough time against Atlanta but turned that around the last time they met with a touchdown and 76 yards. The game is in a dome so there is no weather that will impact the passing game and with two teams that love to score points we might be looking at a shootout.

I am starting to look towards Jesse James in the leagues where I am streaming Tight Ends. He has a decently high projection for Week 3 with little to no risk. 7.4 points would have placed him top 14 in Week 2 so like I said a decent projection, but it is the low risk that gets me going. If the risk is only 25% of him not scoring 7.4 he will likely get there and probably beyond that score.

John Brown is a very interesting player to pick up and maybe even play this week. Denver is giving up a good amount of points to Wide Receivers and Brown has been a huge part of the Baltimore offense these first two weeks.

Eric Ebron on the other hand made this list due to me disliking him as a fantasy player. I know that sounds weird but I had to put him on here thanks to pretty high projection with an OK risk rating. I have never liked Ebron before but now with two touchdowns in two games he might have found his rhythm? I am not playing him this week but I might grab him and stash him if I have room on my roster.

Other guys that did not make the list are Patrick Mahomes who still is only owned in 70% of all leagues, Phillip Lindsay who I don't have numbers for yet but is only owned in 18% of leagues and lastly Ryan Fitzpatrick if you are streaming Quarterbacks in a deeper league. Be careful with Fitzpatrick though as we know that it is just a matter of time before he implodes!

Statistical Summary

I made 248 Projections with Probabilities for Week 2.

I measure with 30 % accuracy, meaning if a player scored over his projection but the probability was 30 % or below I failed or if a player had 70 % probability but scored below his projection I also failed.

Out of the 248 Projection and Probabilities I had 178 Correct and 70 Incorrect. That means that 71.8% % of all the numbers I provided gave You a good opportunity to plan your fantasy lineup for Week 1.

Week 1 I had a 78% hit rate on my Projections so unfortunately I took a step back in Week 2. I will be back next week and be even better!

Like and Re-tweet, everything is appreciated!

The spreadsheets are dark and full of terror // CSD

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